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A majority of Democrats and Latinos want to ditch Biden for the 2024 presidential election and find a new candidate to run for office, according to a new New York Times/Sienna College poll. The scathing survey comes at a time when Biden bleeds support from all sides of the aisle and inflation reaches record-breaking levels and shows that Biden is in deep trouble with both his base of support and the Latino electorate.
The survey also shows that the President is deeply unpopular with the general electorate as a whole. Only 33% of the respondents think that Biden is doing a good job. To put these numbers into context, Trump enjoyed 46% of approval in the NYT/Sienna poll of 2020. Hispanics also disapprove heavily of Biden, as 63% of Latino respondents think he is doing either somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job the President is doing.
The NYT/Sienna poll is the first one conducted ahead of this year’s midterm elections and it shows a very bleak picture for the Democrat’s chances to retain their slim control of Congress as their candidates’ image is stuck with a very unpopular President who the poll also shows receives terrible marks on the way he has handled all major issues America faces right now.
Majority of Democrats and Latinos say Biden is too old
The most eye-opening data from the survey shows that almost two-thirds (64%) of the respondents who would vote in the 2024 Democratic primary do not want Biden to run for reelection. As expected, a vast majority of white voters (both with college degrees and not) and Independents do not want Biden to run in the next election, an important blow to Biden’s political viability in the 2024 election.
However, the most worrisome numbers for Biden are his abysmal numbers with Latinos and Democrats. The NYT/Sienna survey shows that an astonishing 63% of Hispanics who said that they would vote in the 2024 Democratic primary do not want Biden to run again—an opinion that is accompanied by 61% of Democrat voters.
A majority of respondents also think that the reasons they want another Democrat to run for office in 2024 are either Biden’s age (33%) or his poor job performance (32%) as POTUS. Most interesting, a majority of Hispanics (54%) said that Biden’s job performance is the reason why they don’t want Biden to run again. At the same time, Democrats are more evenly divided for both reasons.
Hispanics are becoming more open to voting Republican
Another important data from the survey is that Latinos are becoming a crucial swing voting bloc in American politics, as Hispanics are evenly divided between those who want to vote Democrat and those who want to vote Republican.
The survey shows that 38% of Latinos are planning to vote in the GOP primary in 2024, and the same percentage plan to do the same in the Democratic primary, while 24% of Hispanic respondents are either not sure or unlikely to vote in the primary of either party.
Worrisome for Democrats, Latinos are also evenly divided in the case of a 2024 rematch between Trump and Biden. The survey shows that 42% of Democrats would vote for Biden while 39% would vote for Trump, which is a deep loss of Hispanic support for the current President who was polling at 59% of Hispanic support in the 2020 NYT/Sienna poll conducted ahead of the presidential election.
Biden’s terrible numbers within his own coalition endanger his political future. Despite the president’s assurances that he will run for re-election in 2024, his enduring unpopularity and his fragile position among Democrats will make it very likely for other Democrats to challenge him for the nomination in the future.
Daniel is a Political Science and Economics student from the University of South Florida. He worked as a congressional intern to Rep. Gus Bilirakis (FL-12) from January to May 2020. He also is the head of international analysis at Politiks // Daniel es un estudiante de Cs Políticas y Economía en la Universidad del Sur de la Florida. Trabajo como pasante legislativo para el Representate Gus Bilirakis (FL-12) desde enero hasta mayo del 2020. Daniel también es el jefe de análisis internacional de Politiks.