LAST WEEK, President Biden’s approval rating reached its highest level since June, reaching 41%. The Democrats and various media outlets sympathetic to the current administration are presenting this new poll as a supposed sign that things are improving because the president is doing a better job and that his chances of being reelected are increasing. Well, the matter should be taken with a grain of salt.
The first thing to say is that a slight increase in the president’s approval rating does not mean that most Democrats want to see him again as their party’s nominee. In fact, a poll conducted in July by CNN shows that 75% of Democrats want a candidate other than Joe Biden. Something completely understandable if we consider all the crises the country is going through and, in addition, the embarrassments the president suffers almost every week when things like the famous “end of quote, repeat the line” happen.
In addition, it must be taken into account that the mid-term elections are approaching and this revives a partisan sentiment in voters. It is normal that when asked about the approval of the leader of their party, and in the face of a possible Republican victory in both Houses, people rate the value of the president higher.
It should also be noted that the administration has raised the stakes by focusing directly on its strong base: the educated elites. Forgiving college debt just months before the election and the narrative about the Republicans’ supposed ban on abortion seem to have a small but positive effect, which is reflected in the polls.
The Inflation Reduction Act (although according to different studies it does nothing to reduce inflation) also provokes in the Democratic public (disenchanted by the economic situation) a sort of sense of relief and that something is being done about. All of the above factors contribute to Biden’s slight but much applauded increase in approval in the polls, but none of this is a sign that the big problems are going to be solved or that Democratic voters want a new term for Biden.
The Democratic elite in Washington can keep thinking about their fantasy, but it is clear to the party’s own base that a second Biden term is not a good option.
Vanessa Vallejo. Co-editor-in-chief of El American. Economist. Podcaster. Political and economic analysis of America. Colombian exile in the United States // Vanessa Vallejo. Co-editora en jefe de El American. Economista. Podcaster. Análisis político y económico de América. Colombiana exiliada en EE. UU.