The debate of presidential candidates in Ecuador held on March 21 favored the conservative Guillermo Lasso, who even slightly surpassed the pro-Correista Andrés Arauz in voting intentions, according to a survey released on Tuesday.
According to the survey, 78% of the population watched the March 21 debate but only 32% watched it in full.
In spite of the rigidity of the format, the debate had its impact and changed the tendency reflected in previous polls that showed the socialist candidate as the winner, according to the consultant.
This new poll shows that 51.3% of those surveyed said they believe Lasso, the conservative candidate, was the winner of the debate. The poll also shows that favorability for the conservative candidate worsened by 21.9% for the left-leaning candidate.
As of March 29, Arauz (left) would get 32.7% of votes and Lasso (right) would get 33.9% of the votes, while 17.1% of voters claim they are undecided, the poll shows.
If only those who declared that they will vote next April 11 in the presidential run-off are taken into account, the survey indicates that Lasso would obtain 37.5% of the electorate’s favor, one point above Arauz with 36.5 %, while whites and nulls would add up to 13.7 % and undecided voters 12.2%.
This new data shows that Lasso was able to reach young voters more effectively than his opponent. Lasso appears to take a lead in Ecuador’s main cities: Quito and Guayaquil.
On the other hand, Arauz enjoys a very strong support in Manabí, the rest of the coastal region and the Amazon region.
Regarding the votes of the third candidate left behind in the presidential race, the leader of the indigenous political movement Pachakutik, Yaku Perez, the poll indicates that nearly 1.8 million of his voters would go 31.9 % to Lasso and 16.5 % to Arauz, while 31.6 % would be blank and null and 20.1 % remain undecided.
After the debate, the rise of the conservative candidate among this electorate has been of about 13 points, in spite of the fact that officially the indigenous movement has requested the null vote in response to its unheeded denunciations of fraud in the first round.
The survey was carried out between March 26 and 28, with a sample of 5,233 respondents over 16 years of age, and has a margin of error of 1.35%.