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Exit Polls: GOP Gains Among Latino Voters

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Although the much talked about “red wave” never appeared, the Republican Party has some reason to celebrate after the 2022 midterms. According to exit polls, the GOP has made significant gains with Latino voters.

According to exit polls released by CNN hours after voting began, compared to the last midterm elections, Republicans gained 21% among Latino men and 13% among Latino women.

In 2018, the first group voted blue by a margin of 29 %, while this 2022 the difference was only 8 %. On the other hand, the second group, historically more hostile to the GOP, voted Democratic by a margin of 47 % in the last midterms and by 33 % last November 8.

“Republicans also made good on predictions that they would perform better among Latino voters than they did four years ago. Democrats’ support among Latino men was 63% in 2018 and is under 55% in 2022, according to the early exit polls. Republicans appeared to cut into Democrats’ advantage among Latino women, although Democrats still got the support of about two-thirds of them,”  CNN reported.

According to this data, another ethnic group that favored the GOP was white women. “Republicans won a majority of White women, an important voting bloc the two parties split in 2018,” they added.

In a surprising and hopeful turn of events for the Republicans, Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio won Miami-Dade County by approximately 11% and 9%, respectively. This county is 68% Latino and has the highest percentage of Latinos in the state. DeSantis lost the Latino vote in this county in 2018 by about 20% and Trump in 2016 by about 30%.

Both candidates exceeded poll projections and scratched 60% of the vote, in a state that Trump carried by just over 3% in 2020.

Joaquín Núñez es hincha de Racing Club de Avellaneda y licenciado en comunicación periodística por la Universidad Católica Argentina. Se especializa en el escenario internacional y en la política norteamericana // Joaquín Núñez is a fan of Avellaneda's Racing Club and has a degree in journalistic communication from the Universidad Católica Argentina. He specializes in the international scene and American politics.

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