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Trump Would Beat Biden in a Hypothetical Election Today, Poll Finds

Trump, El American

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Trump would win a hypothetical election against Biden by at least 4 points, according to a recent poll by YouGov.

The poll found that, if the presidential election were held today, 42% of Americans would vote for Donald Trump, including 7% of Democrats and 4% of Biden voters in 2020, and 39% would re-elect the Democratic president.

Trump - Biden - El American
Trump vs. Biden election results for 2024 (Screenshot)

However, Americans would prefer the choices to be different. More than half of those polled (55%) believe Trump should not be the Republican candidate for the 2024 election, and 64% believe Biden should not run for re-election.

Now, both Trump and Biden receive an unfavorable opinion from 53% of Americans surveyed, but more Americans have a positive opinion of Trump (43%) than those who think favorably of Biden (40%).

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In a hypothetical election between the two candidates, the majority of independent voters (47%) would vote for Trump, while only 28% would vote for Biden. The same is true for male voters (45% vs. 37%), white voters (49% vs. 37%), Hispanic voters (39% vs. 28%), voters over 30 (41% vs. 40%), voters over 45 (47% vs. 38%) and voters over 65 (44% vs. 43%).

Joe Biden, on the other hand, would receive majority support from female voters (40% vs. 39%), black voters (55% vs. 17%) and young people between 18 and 29 years old (34% vs. 32%).

The poll, which was conducted between June 10 and June 13 of this year, surveyed a total of 1,539 Americans of voting age. A majority of those polled (38%) were Democratic voters. 31% said they were Republicans and the remaining 31% declared themselves independents.

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