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Morning Consult: Trump is GOP Primary Frontrunner

Trump es el favorito entre los republicanos, según última encuesta

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Former President Donald Trump is the favorite in the Republican primary. A recent Morning Consult poll showed that if the primaries were held today, Trump would win the election over Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and former Vice President Mike Pence.

The poll was conducted from January 14 to 16. 3,763 potential voters participated in the Republican primaries and the poll has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

The survey conducted by Morning Consult was made among potential Republican voters and revealed that Trump, the only aspirant to the White House who has so far made his electoral intentions official, would be the winner with 48% support.

Governor DeSantis, who has been speculated to announce his candidacy in the coming months, would have 31% of the votes, ahead of former Vice President Pence, who would get 8%. The poll also shows that former Rep. Liz Cheney would get 3%, former Governor of South Carolina and Ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley 2% and Senator Ted Cruz 2%.

“After several weeks of trailing DeSantis’ popularity level among the prospective 2024 primary electorate, Trump is closing the gap,” Morning Consult poll explains.

Similarly, 77% of respondents expressed favorable opinions about the former president and his administration. Likewise, 34% said they had heard positive news about Trump and 33% heard negative information.

Trump, the only candidate who has so far made his electoral intentions official, would be the winner with 48% support Photo: EFE
The former Republican president is the most likely to win in the primary, according to a Morning Consult poll. (EFE)

Another perspective on Trump

In December, many outlets reported that the Florida governor was leading the polls and that by that time he was winning the election not only against Joe Biden, but also against former President Trump in the 2024 election race.

The poll at the time was conducted by USA Today and indicated that 61% would prefer a candidate other than Trump to run for president. However, a majority indicated that the Republican candidate should continue Trump’s policies.

That poll was released the week of Dec. 14 with two samples: one of 1,000 registered voters, with a 3.1-point margin of error, and another of 374 Republican or conservative-minded independent voters, with a 5.1-point margin of error.


Williams Perdomo es periodista y escritor, especializado en las fuentes Política y Cultura.