Skip to content

Economist, CNBC Polls Paint Dire Picture for Biden and Dems Ahead of 2022 Midterms

Leer en Español

Democrats’ unpopularity continues to hit new lows after a new CNBC poll found out that the Republicans hold a 10-point-advantage over their opposing party in the generic congressional ballot. The same poll has Biden’s cratering approval numbers at just 41%. Similarly, a TheEconomist/YouGov poll found that Biden only has a 39% approval rating, raising alarms among Democrats as they prepare for next year’s midterms.  

This bad batch of polls comes within the same days that the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that inflation in the United States reached 6.8% in November (the largest increase in inflation since 1982); the Congressional Budget Office announced that if the temporary programs included in Biden’s reconciliation bill are made permanent, they would raise a whopping $3 trillion to the U.S. deficit.

Voters more concerned voer inflation than COVID

According to the CNBC poll, inflation has now eclipsed COVID as the main issue that Americans are worried about. The YouGov poll also shows a similar picture, as 42% of respondents said that inflation is a more important problem than unemployment, and 54% of those surveyed said that the prices of the goods and services they buy (not the stock market or the unemployment rate) is the best way to measure how the economy is going.

This last data must be very troubling for Mr. Biden as the BLS announced that prices have risen all across the board since last year: food has gone up 6%, gas has risen 57.5%, electricity has risen 6.5%, used cars have risen more than 30%, and even apparel prices increased 5%.

Medios, El American
President Biden’s popularity shows no signs of recovery (EFE)

The CNBC poll shows that 56% disapprove of the way Biden has handled the economy, while only 37% approve. This trend is also found in the YouGov poll, as 51% disapprove of his economic performance and only 38% approve.

The discontent over the state of the country has translated into a decisive GOP advantage over the Democratic Party. The CNBC survey shows 44% support the GOP over the Democratic Party’s 34%, the first time the Republican Party reaches a double-digit advantage since CNBC began doing this poll.  

The polls also show that Democrats should worry a lot over their position among the Hispanic electorate. According to the YouGov poll 47% of Latinos disapprove of the job of the President, while only 40% approve, most concerning for the Democrats is that while only 19% of Latinos strongly approve of the President, 30% strongly disapprove of Biden’s job performance. A recent WSJ poll also showed that a majority of Hispanics disapprove of the President and that Latinos are evenly divided between both parties.

The President started seeing a significant fall in his approval numbers after the chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan in August. Since then, and despite passing an infrastructure bill in Congress, his numbers have not improved at all, as the President is polling lower than any president in modern history, except Donald Trump. If Biden doesn’t manage to get his numbers back, then Democrats will surely be headed towards an electoral catastrophe in 2022.

Daniel is a Political Science and Economics student from the University of South Florida. He worked as a congressional intern to Rep. Gus Bilirakis (FL-12) from January to May 2020. He also is the head of international analysis at Politiks // Daniel es un estudiante de Cs Políticas y Economía en la Universidad del Sur de la Florida. Trabajo como pasante legislativo para el Representate Gus Bilirakis (FL-12) desde enero hasta mayo del 2020. Daniel también es el jefe de análisis internacional de Politiks.

Leave a Reply